7 min read

The SEO Industry Needs Google's Opacity

Google won't tell us how ranking works. The SEO industry complains about this constantly. But our entire business model depends on the mystery. Transparency would destroy us.

The SEO industry has a complicated relationship with Google. We depend on them entirely. We resent them frequently. We complain about them constantly.

One of the loudest complaints: Google isn't transparent enough. (Their Search Quality team is mostly PR.) They won't tell us exactly how rankings work. They give vague guidance instead of specific instructions. They change the algorithm without warning or explanation.

This complaint is everywhere. In forum threads and Twitter debates. In conference talks and blog posts. In conversations between practitioners who feel Google owes them more information.

Here's the uncomfortable truth: if Google became truly transparent, the SEO industry would collapse.

The Mystery Is The Product

Nocturne in Black and Gold by James Whistler
Your analytics dashboard at night. All fireworks, no clarity.

What does the SEO industry actually sell? Expertise. Knowledge. The ability to navigate a complex, opaque system that clients can't navigate themselves.

This expertise has value precisely because Google's algorithm is mysterious. If anyone could easily understand how to rank, they wouldn't need SEO professionals. If every business owner could read a simple guide and immediately optimize their site, there would be no agencies.

The opacity creates the market.

Think about it. SEO tools exist to estimate things Google won't tell us: keyword difficulty, ranking factors, domain authority. SEO services exist to interpret signals Google won't clarify. SEO conferences exist to share theories about what Google's algorithm actually values.

All of this depends on uncertainty. The less we know for sure, the more value there is in educated guessing.

The Transparency Thought Experiment

Imagine Google published a complete, accurate, continuously updated guide to ranking. Every factor, weighted precisely. Every algorithm update documented in detail. Complete transparency.

What happens to SEO?

Tools become largely unnecessary. Why use third-party estimates when Google tells you exactly what matters? Keyword difficulty? Google gives you the number. Domain authority? Here's the actual metric. You don't need Ahrefs, Semrush, or Moz to estimate what Google tells you directly.

Agencies lose their edge. The "secret knowledge" that justifies premium fees evaporates. Anyone can read the documentation. The expertise becomes public knowledge. The gap between professional and amateur shrinks dramatically.

Implementation becomes mechanical. With clear rules, SEO becomes a checklist. Follow the steps, meet the criteria, rank accordingly. Creativity and judgment matter less. Execution of known steps matters more.

The industry commoditizes. When everyone can do it, no one can charge premium prices. SEO becomes like other technical implementation work: necessary but undifferentiated. Hourly rates plummet. Specialized agencies struggle to justify their existence.

We'd Rather Fight In The Fog

The current system, frustrating as it is, benefits established players in SEO.

Experience matters when there's no manual. Pattern recognition develops over years of observation. Intuition sharpens through thousands of tests. Veteran SEOs have accumulated knowledge that can't be quickly replicated, precisely because the algorithm isn't documented.

Reputation matters when proof is scarce. If you can't definitively prove what works, trust and track record become more important. Established agencies benefit from this. Breaking into the industry becomes harder.

Ongoing engagement matters when the ground keeps shifting. Undocumented algorithm changes require constant monitoring and adaptation. Clients can't fire their SEO when they need someone to interpret each new update.

The fog protects incumbents. Transparency would level the playing field in ways that hurt people currently succeeding.

The Convenient Villain

Google's opacity also provides a useful excuse.

When an SEO campaign doesn't work, who's to blame? "Google changed the algorithm." "We can't know exactly why." "The signals are unclear."

With transparency, there would be clearer accountability. You followed the documented process and it didn't work? That's on you. The rules were public. Your implementation must have been wrong.

The opacity provides cover. It allows for explanations that aren't falsifiable. It maintains plausible deniability when results disappoint.

None of this is conscious. SEOs don't deliberately exploit the mystery. But the system creates incentives that make the mystery valuable to those working within it.

The Complaining Is Ritual

Whistler's Mother by James Whistler
Patience. Stillness. Waiting for rankings.

The complaint about transparency has become ritualistic. It's something SEOs say without really meaning it.

We complain when Google won't explain an update, but we don't really want a world where updates are explained in detail. That world is worse for us, even if it's better for everyone else.

We demand clearer guidelines while building businesses that depend on guidelines being unclear. We want just enough transparency to feel informed, but not so much that our expertise becomes unnecessary.

This is human nature, not conspiracy. People don't often advocate for changes that would harm their own interests. The SEO industry advocating for complete transparency would be unusual.

Google's Perspective

Google has its own reasons for opacity, of course. Complete transparency would enable manipulation. If everyone knew exactly what to do, everyone would do it, and the signals would become useless.

But Google also benefits from the SEO industry existing. We spend enormous resources interpreting their platform, driving quality improvements, and creating content for their index. We evangelize good practices to publishers. We clean up the web in ways Google's algorithms can't.

The relationship is symbiotic. Google provides just enough guidance to keep us useful, but not so much that we become unnecessary. We provide free labor improving the web, while depending on the ambiguity Google maintains.

Both sides benefit from the current arrangement, even as both sides complain about it.

The Better Industry

The Cradle by Berthe Morisot
Watching over your new content.

If Google became transparent, SEO would survive but transform.

The industry would shift toward implementation and strategy. Less mysticism, more project management. Less interpretation, more execution. Closer to web development than to wizardry.

This might actually be better. More honest. More grounded. Less susceptible to snake oil and false expertise. The good practitioners would still add value through efficiency, integration, and strategic thinking. The mediocre ones would lose the fog that currently hides their inadequacy.

But asking the current industry to advocate for this is like asking turkeys to vote for Thanksgiving. The people who would benefit from transparency aren't the people currently running SEO agencies and selling SEO tools.

Owning The Paradox

I'm part of this industry. I benefit from the opacity too. I have opinions about how ranking works that I can never definitively prove. That uncertainty is partially what makes those opinions valuable.

I'm not arguing for Google to become transparent. I'm not even sure that would be good, given the manipulation it would enable.

I'm arguing for honesty about our situation. The SEO industry claims to want transparency while depending on opacity. We complain about the mystery while profiting from it. We demand answers while building businesses that require questions to remain open.

The next time you hear an SEO demand transparency from Google, ask yourself: would they really want it? Would any of us? Our entire industry is built on the answer being no.

At least we can stop pretending otherwise.

Disagree? Good.

These takes are meant to start conversations, not end them.

Tell me I'm wrong